2020 – The CLICIM project – CLImate Change Induced Migration – aims at the provision of evidence on the nexus between climate change and population dynamics in Africa. It features a strong relevance for current and future migration, development, cooperation and climate adaptation policies.

Climate change induced phenomena, such as changes in climate and temperatures, have both direct and indirect impacts on structural migration factors, thus affecting population dynamics through a complex set of interactions.
In this project, the JRC seeks to disentangle the role of climate factors in affecting population migration and mobility in Africa, by focusing on slow-onset climatic events – such as increasing temperatures (UNFCCC, 2012) and net migration estimates at high spatial resolution. The latter are based on population distribution datasets collected for the last five decades (1975-2015) by the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer and on estimated population projections for the decades to come.
By looking at population distribution projections under different Shared Socio Economic Pathways (SSP) scenarios, the project seeks to quantify and anticipate the future response, in terms of mobility and migration, of population exposed to climate change and to provide evidence on population vulnerability to climate change in a long-term perspective